Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons 82% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Pistons:
- Defensive Efficiency. Pistons defense (109.6 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (116.3 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form. Pistons (46-18) in better form than 76ers (35-30)
- Offensive Efficiency. Pistons offense (116.7 PPG) outpaces 76ers (115.6 PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: DET 62% (−20)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: DET 75% (−7)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: DET 75% (−7)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: DET 75% (−7)
Win probability movement
DET home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Pistons defeated the 76ers 131-109.
Our model predicted the Pistons would win with 82% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Pistons and was a major factor: Pistons defense (109.6 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (116.3 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Pistons and was a contributing factor: Pistons (46-18) in better form than 76ers (35-30)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Pistons and was a contributing factor: Pistons offense (116.7 PPG) outpaces 76ers (115.6 PPG)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Pistons won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Detroit Pistons
- Recent FormFavors Detroit Pistons
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Detroit Pistons
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Pistons
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Pistons defense (109.6 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (116.3 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Pistons (46-18) in better form than 76ers (35-30)
Offensive Efficiency
Pistons offense (116.7 PPG) outpaces 76ers (115.6 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Pistons turnover differential (+0) vs 76ers (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
76ers
Pistons
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Pistons has a 82% win probability, while 76ers has a 19% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.