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Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics

NBApreseason • 2026-27 Season
completed
Celtics logo
Celtics
Boston
144
vs
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
106
BOS 66%34% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Boston Celtics 66% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Celtics:

  • Offensive Efficiency. Celtics offense (124.0 PPG) outpaces 76ers (114.0 PPG)
  • Injuries. Celtics healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 1 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. First home game of the season for Celtics; 76ers are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

Make Your Prediction

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VenueTD Garden
Boston, MA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

76ers (away)
Celtics (home)
34%
Win probability
66%
1
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Celtics defeated the 76ers 144-106.

Our model predicted the Celtics would win with 66% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Celtics and was a major factor: Celtics offense (124.0 PPG) outpaces 76ers (114.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the 76ers and was a major factor: 76ers defense (105.5 Opp PPG) better than Celtics (113.0 Opp PPG)
  • Injuries favored the Celtics and was a notable factor: Celtics healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 1 out, 0 doubtful
  • The 76ers are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Celtics won 144-106

Celtics won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Celtics at 66%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Boston Celtics
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • InjuriesFavors Boston Celtics
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Boston Celtics
  • ELO RatingFavors Boston Celtics
  • Rest DaysNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHI
BOS
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours PHI|Favours BOS

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Celtics offense (124.0 PPG) outpaces 76ers (114.0 PPG)

Celtics

Defensive Efficiency

76ers defense (105.5 Opp PPG) better than Celtics (113.0 Opp PPG)

76ers

Turnover Differential

Celtics turnover differential (+0) vs 76ers (+0)

Neutral

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/10/2026, 11:45:03 PM

Key Players

76ers

Caleb LoveG
Anfernee SimonsG
Tyrese MaxeyG
Rayan RupertG
Jaylen BrownG

Celtics

Devin CarterG
Mike ConleyG
Hugo GonzalezG
Derrick WhiteG
Ron Harper Jr.G

Frequently Asked Questions

Celtics has a 66% win probability, while 76ers has a 34% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at TD Garden in Boston, MA.

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