Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers
Orlando Magic 78% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Magic:
- Defensive Efficiency. Magic defense (118.0 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (124.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency. Magic offense (122.0 PPG) outpaces Cavaliers (113.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. Cavaliers are 0-1 at home this season; Magic are 1-0 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Cavaliers defeated the Magic 119-105.
Our model predicted the Magic would win with 78% confidence, but the Cavaliers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Magic and was a major factor: Magic defense (118.0 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (124.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Magic and was a major factor: Magic offense (122.0 PPG) outpaces Cavaliers (113.0 PPG)
- Injuries favored the Cavaliers and was a major factor: Cavaliers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 1 out, 0 doubtful
- The Magic are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Cavaliers won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Orlando Magic
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Orlando Magic
- InjuriesFavors Cleveland Cavaliers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Orlando Magic
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Magic defense (118.0 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (124.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Magic offense (122.0 PPG) outpaces Cavaliers (113.0 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Cavaliers turnover differential (+0) vs Magic (+0)
Injuries
Cavaliers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 1 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Magic
Cavaliers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Cavaliers has a 22% win probability, while Magic has a 78% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH.