Oklahoma City Thunder at Phoenix Suns
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Thunder at Suns
The Thunder visit the Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ in 2026-2027 NBA regular play.
Our model gives the Thunder a 81% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. The Suns will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Thunder (high): Thunder offense (118.5 PPG) outpaces Suns (112.2 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Thunder (high): Thunder defense (107.5 Opp PPG) better than Suns (111.2 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form favors the Thunder (medium): Thunder (56-15) in better form than Suns (39-32)
is strongly favored to win
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Thunder offense (118.5 PPG) outpaces Suns (112.2 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Thunder defense (107.5 Opp PPG) better than Suns (111.2 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Thunder (56-15) in better form than Suns (39-32)
Turnover Differential
Suns turnover differential (+0) vs Thunder (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Thunder
Suns
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Suns has a 19% win probability, while Thunder has a 81% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ.