New York Knicks at Utah Jazz
New York Knicks 71% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Knicks:
- Defensive Efficiency. Knicks defense (110.8 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (124.9 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form. Knicks (41-25) in better form than Jazz (20-45)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: NYK 50% (−21)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: NYK 61% (−10)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: NYK 71% (0)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: NYK 69% (−2)
Win probability movement
UTA home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Knicks defeated the Jazz 134-117.
Our model predicted the Knicks would win with 71% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Knicks and was a major factor: Knicks defense (110.8 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (124.9 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Knicks and was a notable factor: Knicks (41-25) in better form than Jazz (20-45)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Jazz and was a notable factor: Jazz are 0-0 at home this season
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Knicks won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors New York Knicks
- Recent FormFavors New York Knicks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Jazz
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Utah Jazz
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Knicks defense (110.8 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (124.9 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Knicks (41-25) in better form than Jazz (20-45)
Offensive Efficiency
Jazz offense (117.4 PPG) outpaces Knicks (116.9 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Jazz turnover differential (+0) vs Knicks (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Knicks
Jazz
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Jazz has a 29% win probability, while Knicks has a 71% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.