Minnesota Timberwolves at LA Clippers
Minnesota Timberwolves 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Timberwolves:
- Offensive Efficiency. Timberwolves offense (118.6 PPG) outpaces Clippers (112.8 PPG)
- Recent Form. Timberwolves (40-24) in better form than Clippers (32-32)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: MIN 41% (−20)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: MIN 65% (+4)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: MIN 62% (+1)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: MIN 57% (−4)
Win probability movement
LAC home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Clippers defeated the Timberwolves 153-128.
Our model predicted the Timberwolves would win with 61% confidence, but the Clippers won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a major factor: Timberwolves offense (118.6 PPG) outpaces Clippers (112.8 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Clippers and was a notable factor: Clippers defense (112.3 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (114.5 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Clippers and was a contributing factor: Clippers are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Clippers won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors LA Clippers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors LA Clippers
- Recent FormFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- InjuriesNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Timberwolves offense (118.6 PPG) outpaces Clippers (112.8 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Clippers defense (112.3 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (114.5 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Timberwolves (40-24) in better form than Clippers (32-32)
Turnover Differential
Clippers turnover differential (+0) vs Timberwolves (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Timberwolves
Clippers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Clippers has a 39% win probability, while Timberwolves has a 61% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA.