Minnesota Timberwolves at Indiana Pacers
Minnesota Timberwolves 57% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Timberwolves:
- Offensive Efficiency. Timberwolves offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Pacers (0.0 PPG)
- Injuries. Timberwolves less affected by injuries: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Pacers 1 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Pacers players matter more
- ELO Rating. Pacers ELO 1438 vs Timberwolves ELO 1542 (diff: -103); Pacers rating carried over from last season
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Pacers defeated the Timberwolves 123-112.
Our model predicted the Timberwolves would win with 57% confidence, but the Pacers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a major factor: Timberwolves offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Pacers (0.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Pacers and was a major factor: Pacers defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (97.0 Opp PPG)
- Injuries favored the Timberwolves and was a notable factor: Timberwolves less affected by injuries: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Pacers 1 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Pacers players...
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Pacers have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Timberwolves have 1.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Pacers won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Indiana Pacers
- InjuriesFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Timberwolves offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Pacers (0.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Pacers defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (97.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Pacers turnover differential (+0) vs Timberwolves (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Timberwolves
Pacers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Pacers has a 43% win probability, while Timberwolves has a 57% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Hilton Coliseum in Ames, IA.