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Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Warriors logo
Warriors
Golden State
117
vs
Timberwolves logo
Timberwolves
Minnesota
127
GSW 45%56% MIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueChase Center
San Francisco, CA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Timberwolves (away)
Warriors (home)
56%
Win probability
45%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Timberwolves defeated the Warriors 127-117.

Our model predicted the Timberwolves would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a notable factor: Timberwolves offense (118.4 PPG) outpaces Warriors (115.2 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Warriors and was a contributing factor: Warriors are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Warriors and was a contributing factor: Warriors defense (114.2 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (115.1 Opp PPG)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Timberwolves won 117-127

Timberwolves won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Timberwolves at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN
GSW
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Defensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Favours MIN|Favours GSW

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/13/2026, 8:30:03 AM

Key Players

Timberwolves

Donte DiVincenzoG
Jaylen ClarkG
Mike ConleyG
Anthony EdwardsG
Ayo DosunmuG

Warriors

Gary Payton IIG
Brandin PodziemskiG
Pat SpencerG
Will RichardG
Stephen CurryG

Frequently Asked Questions

Warriors has a 45% win probability, while Timberwolves has a 56% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA.

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