Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers 85% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Pacers:
- Offensive Efficiency. Pacers offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces Bucks (104.8 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Pacers defense (115.0 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (118.0 Opp PPG)
- Injuries. Pacers less affected by injuries: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Bucks 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Bucks players matter more
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Bucks defeated the Pacers 128-127.
Our model predicted the Pacers would win with 85% confidence, but the Bucks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Pacers and was a major factor: Pacers offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces Bucks (104.8 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Pacers and was a notable factor: Pacers defense (115.0 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (118.0 Opp PPG)
- Injuries favored the Pacers and was a contributing factor: Pacers less affected by injuries: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Bucks 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Bucks players matter ...
- The Pacers are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Bucks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Indiana Pacers
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Indiana Pacers
- InjuriesFavors Indiana Pacers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Indiana Pacers
- ELO RatingFavors Indiana Pacers
- Rest DaysFavors Indiana Pacers
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Pacers offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces Bucks (104.8 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Pacers defense (115.0 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (118.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Pacers turnover differential (+0) vs Bucks (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Bucks
Pacers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Pacers has a 85% win probability, while Bucks has a 15% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN.