Memphis Grizzlies at Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers 65% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:
- Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (116.1 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.0 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. 76ers are 0-0 at home this season
- Recent Form. 76ers (34-30) in better form than Grizzlies (23-40)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 57% (−8)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 59% (−6)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: PHI 61% (−4)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 63% (−2)
Win probability movement
PHI home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The 76ers defeated the Grizzlies 139-129.
Our model predicted the 76ers would win with 65% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the 76ers and was a notable factor: 76ers defense (116.1 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.0 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the 76ers and was a notable factor: 76ers are 0-0 at home this season
- Recent Form favored the 76ers and was a contributing factor: 76ers (34-30) in better form than Grizzlies (23-40)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
76ers won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Recent FormFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Grizzlies
76ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
76ers has a 65% win probability, while Grizzlies has a 35% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.