Memphis Grizzlies at Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls 71% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Bulls:
- Defensive Efficiency. Bulls defense (117.0 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (122.5 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating. Bulls ELO 1447 vs Grizzlies ELO 1342 (diff: +105)
- Home Field Advantage. Bulls are 1-0 at home this season; Grizzlies are 1-0 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Grizzlies defeated the Bulls 104-100.
Our model predicted the Bulls would win with 71% confidence, but the Grizzlies pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Bulls and was a major factor: Bulls defense (117.0 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (122.5 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating favored the Bulls and was a contributing factor: Bulls ELO 1447 vs Grizzlies ELO 1342 (diff: +105)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Bulls and was a notable factor: Bulls are 1-0 at home this season; Grizzlies are 1-0 on the road
- The Grizzlies are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Grizzlies won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Chicago Bulls
- ELO RatingFavors Chicago Bulls
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Bulls
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Memphis Grizzlies
- InjuriesFavors Memphis Grizzlies
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Bulls defense (117.0 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (122.5 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Grizzlies offense (125.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (124.0 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Bulls turnover differential (+0) vs Grizzlies (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Grizzlies
Bulls
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Bulls has a 71% win probability, while Grizzlies has a 29% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.