Memphis Grizzlies at Brooklyn Nets
Memphis Grizzlies 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Grizzlies:
- Offensive Efficiency. Grizzlies offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Nets (106.8 PPG)
- Recent Form. Grizzlies (23-39) in better form than Nets (16-47)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: MEM 40% (−21)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: MEM 66% (+5)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: MEM 63% (+2)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: MEM 56% (−5)
Win probability movement
BKN home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Nets defeated the Grizzlies 126-115.
Our model predicted the Grizzlies would win with 61% confidence, but the Nets won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Grizzlies and was a major factor: Grizzlies offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Nets (106.8 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Nets and was a notable factor: Nets defense (115.6 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (117.8 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Nets and was a notable factor: Nets are 0-0 at home this season
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Nets won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Memphis Grizzlies
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Brooklyn Nets
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Brooklyn Nets
- Recent FormFavors Memphis Grizzlies
- InjuriesNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Grizzlies offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Nets (106.8 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Nets defense (115.6 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (117.8 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Grizzlies (23-39) in better form than Nets (16-47)
Turnover Differential
Nets turnover differential (+0) vs Grizzlies (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Grizzlies
Nets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Nets has a 39% win probability, while Grizzlies has a 61% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY.