Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks 53% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Hawks:
- ELO Rating. Hawks ELO 1522 vs Grizzlies ELO 1327 (diff: +195); both ratings carried over from last season
- Home Field Advantage. Standard home-field edge for Hawks (no home or road games yet this season)
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Grizzlies defeated the Hawks 132-123.
Our model predicted the Hawks would win with 53% confidence, but the Grizzlies pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Grizzlies and was a major factor: Grizzlies healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Hawks 1 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Hawks and was a notable factor: Hawks ELO 1522 vs Grizzlies ELO 1327 (diff: +195); both ratings carried over from last season
- Home Field Advantage favored the Hawks and was a notable factor: Standard home-field edge for Hawks (no home or road games yet this season)
- The Hawks are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Grizzlies won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Memphis Grizzlies
- ELO RatingFavors Atlanta Hawks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Atlanta Hawks
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Grizzlies healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Hawks 1 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Grizzlies
Hawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Hawks has a 53% win probability, while Grizzlies has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA.