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Indiana Pacers at Portland Trail Blazers

NBAregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Trail Blazers logo
Trail Blazers
Portland
131
vs
Pacers logo
Pacers
Indiana
111
POR 56%44% IND
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Portland Trail Blazers 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Trail Blazers:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: POR 52% (−4)

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VenueModa Center
Portland, OR

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Pacers (away)
Trail Blazers (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Trail Blazers defeated the Pacers 131-111.

Our model predicted the Trail Blazers would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Trail Blazers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Trail Blazers won 131-111

Trail Blazers won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Trail Blazers at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Portland Trail Blazers
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

IND
POR
Home Field Advantage
Favours IND|Favours POR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/8/2026, 8:30:04 AM

Key Players

Pacers

Johnny FurphyG
Braden SmithG
Kelly Oubre Jr.G
Ethan ThompsonG
Tyrese HaliburtonG

Trail Blazers

Shaedon SharpeG
Scoot HendersonG
Sidy CissokoG
Jrue HolidayG
Jayson KentG

Frequently Asked Questions

Trail Blazers has a 56% win probability, while Pacers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Moda Center in Portland, OR.

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