Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers 74% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Trail Blazers:
- Defensive Efficiency. Trail Blazers defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Warriors (101.0 Opp PPG)
- Injuries. Trail Blazers healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Warriors 2 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. First home game of the season for Trail Blazers; Warriors are 0-1 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Trail Blazers defeated the Warriors 123-118.
Our model predicted the Trail Blazers would win with 74% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Warriors and was a major factor: Warriors offense (112.5 PPG) outpaces Trail Blazers (0.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Trail Blazers and was a major factor: Trail Blazers defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Warriors (101.0 Opp PPG)
- Injuries favored the Trail Blazers and was a major factor: Trail Blazers healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Warriors 2 out, 0 doubtful
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Trail Blazers have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Warriors have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Trail Blazers won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Golden State Warriors
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- InjuriesFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- ELO RatingFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Warriors offense (112.5 PPG) outpaces Trail Blazers (0.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Trail Blazers defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Warriors (101.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Trail Blazers turnover differential (+0) vs Warriors (+0)
Injuries
Trail Blazers healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Warriors 2 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Warriors
Trail Blazers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Trail Blazers has a 74% win probability, while Warriors has a 26% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Moda Center in Portland, OR.