Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns
Golden State Warriors 68% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Warriors:
- Defensive Efficiency. Warriors defense (108.3 Opp PPG) better than Suns (116.5 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency. Warriors offense (114.3 PPG) outpaces Suns (112.0 PPG)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Warriors at Suns
The Warriors visit the Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.
Our model gives the Warriors a 68% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The Suns will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Warriors (high): Warriors defense (108.3 Opp PPG) better than Suns (116.5 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Warriors (medium): Warriors offense (114.3 PPG) outpaces Suns (112.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Suns (medium): First home game of the season for Suns; Warriors are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Golden State Warriors
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Golden State Warriors
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Phoenix Suns
- ELO RatingFavors Phoenix Suns
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Warriors defense (108.3 Opp PPG) better than Suns (116.5 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Warriors offense (114.3 PPG) outpaces Suns (112.0 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Suns turnover differential (+0) vs Warriors (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Warriors
Suns
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Suns has a 32% win probability, while Warriors has a 68% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ.