Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards
Detroit Pistons 67% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Pistons:
- Injuries. Pistons healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Wizards 2 out, 0 doubtful
- Defensive Efficiency. Pistons defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (109.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating. Wizards ELO 1389 vs Pistons ELO 1564 (diff: -175)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Wizards defeated the Pistons 114-108.
Our model predicted the Pistons would win with 67% confidence, but the Wizards pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Pistons and was a major factor: Pistons healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Wizards 2 out, 0 doubtful
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Pistons and was a notable factor: Pistons defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (109.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Wizards and was a notable factor: Wizards offense (111.0 PPG) outpaces Pistons (109.0 PPG)
- The Wizards are without 2 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Wizards won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Detroit Pistons
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Detroit Pistons
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Washington Wizards
- ELO RatingFavors Detroit Pistons
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Washington Wizards
- Rest DaysFavors Detroit Pistons
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Pistons healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Wizards 2 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Pistons
Wizards
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Wizards has a 33% win probability, while Pistons has a 67% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC.