Detroit Pistons at Brooklyn Nets
Detroit Pistons 87% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Pistons:
- Offensive Efficiency. Pistons offense (116.7 PPG) outpaces Nets (107.2 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Pistons defense (109.8 Opp PPG) better than Nets (115.6 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form. Pistons (45-18) in better form than Nets (17-47)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: DET 70% (−17)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: DET 70% (−17)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: DET 78% (−9)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: DET 85% (−2)
Win probability movement
BKN home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Pistons defeated the Nets 138-100.
Our model predicted the Pistons would win with 87% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Pistons and was a major factor: Pistons offense (116.7 PPG) outpaces Nets (107.2 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Pistons and was a major factor: Pistons defense (109.8 Opp PPG) better than Nets (115.6 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Pistons and was a notable factor: Pistons (45-18) in better form than Nets (17-47)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Pistons won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Detroit Pistons
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Detroit Pistons
- Recent FormFavors Detroit Pistons
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Brooklyn Nets
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Pistons offense (116.7 PPG) outpaces Nets (107.2 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Pistons defense (109.8 Opp PPG) better than Nets (115.6 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Pistons (45-18) in better form than Nets (17-47)
Turnover Differential
Nets turnover differential (+0) vs Pistons (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Pistons
Nets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Nets has a 13% win probability, while Pistons has a 87% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY.