Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic
Cleveland Cavaliers 71% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Cavaliers:
- Defensive Efficiency. Cavaliers defense (114.5 Opp PPG) better than Magic (118.5 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency. Cavaliers offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Magic (113.5 PPG)
- Injuries. Cavaliers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 1 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Magic defeated the Cavaliers 132-116.
Our model predicted the Cavaliers would win with 71% confidence, but the Magic pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Cavaliers and was a major factor: Cavaliers defense (114.5 Opp PPG) better than Magic (118.5 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Cavaliers and was a notable factor: Cavaliers offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Magic (113.5 PPG)
- Injuries favored the Cavaliers and was a notable factor: Cavaliers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 1 out, 0 doubtful
- The Magic are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Magic won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Cleveland Cavaliers
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Cleveland Cavaliers
- InjuriesFavors Cleveland Cavaliers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Orlando Magic
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Cavaliers defense (114.5 Opp PPG) better than Magic (118.5 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Cavaliers offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Magic (113.5 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Magic turnover differential (+0) vs Cavaliers (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Cavaliers
Magic
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Magic has a 29% win probability, while Cavaliers has a 71% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Kia Center in Orlando, FL.