Charlotte Hornets at Memphis Grizzlies
Charlotte Hornets 50% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Hornets:
- Defensive Efficiency. Hornets defense (109.3 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (115.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating. Grizzlies ELO 1359 vs Hornets ELO 1535 (diff: -176)
- Rest Days. Hornets rest advantage (2 days rest) over Grizzlies (7 days rest)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Grizzlies defeated the Hornets 116-98.
Our model predicted the Hornets would win with 50% confidence, but the Grizzlies pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Grizzlies and was a major factor: Grizzlies offense (118.0 PPG) outpaces Hornets (96.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Hornets and was a major factor: Hornets defense (109.3 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (115.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating favored the Hornets and was a notable factor: Grizzlies ELO 1359 vs Hornets ELO 1535 (diff: -176)
- The Grizzlies are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Grizzlies won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Memphis Grizzlies
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Charlotte Hornets
- ELO RatingFavors Charlotte Hornets
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Memphis Grizzlies
- Rest DaysFavors Charlotte Hornets
- InjuriesFavors Memphis Grizzlies
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Grizzlies offense (118.0 PPG) outpaces Hornets (96.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Hornets defense (109.3 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (115.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Grizzlies turnover differential (+0) vs Hornets (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Hornets
Grizzlies
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Grizzlies has a 50% win probability, while Hornets has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at FedExForum in Memphis, TN.