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Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers

NBApreseason • 2026-27 Season
completed
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
120
vs
Celtics logo
Celtics
Boston
125
PHI 11%89% BOS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Boston Celtics 89% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Celtics:

  • Defensive Efficiency. Celtics defense (104.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (118.3 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency. Celtics offense (127.3 PPG) outpaces 76ers (111.3 PPG)
  • Injuries. Celtics healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 1 out, 0 doubtful

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VenueXfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Celtics (away)
76ers (home)
89%
Win probability
11%
3
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Celtics defeated the 76ers 125-120.

Our model predicted the Celtics would win with 89% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Celtics and was a major factor: Celtics defense (104.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (118.3 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Celtics and was a major factor: Celtics offense (127.3 PPG) outpaces 76ers (111.3 PPG)
  • Injuries favored the Celtics and was a major factor: Celtics healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 1 out, 0 doubtful
  • The 76ers are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Celtics won 120-125

Celtics won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Celtics at 89%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Boston Celtics
  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Boston Celtics
  • InjuriesFavors Boston Celtics
  • ELO RatingFavors Boston Celtics
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Rest DaysFavors Philadelphia 76ers
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

BOS
PHI
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Injuries
ELO Rating
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours BOS|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Celtics defense (104.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (118.3 Opp PPG)

Celtics

Offensive Efficiency

Celtics offense (127.3 PPG) outpaces 76ers (111.3 PPG)

Celtics

Turnover Differential

76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Celtics (+0)

Neutral

Injuries

Celtics healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 1 out, 0 doubtful

Celtics

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/16/2026, 10:45:03 PM

Key Players

Celtics

Devin CarterG
Mike ConleyG
Hugo GonzalezG
Derrick WhiteG
Ron Harper Jr.G

76ers

Caleb LoveG
Anfernee SimonsG
Tyrese MaxeyG
Rayan RupertG
Jaylen BrownG

Frequently Asked Questions

76ers has a 11% win probability, while Celtics has a 89% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

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