Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics 89% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Celtics:
- Defensive Efficiency. Celtics defense (104.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (118.3 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency. Celtics offense (127.3 PPG) outpaces 76ers (111.3 PPG)
- Injuries. Celtics healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 1 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Celtics defeated the 76ers 125-120.
Our model predicted the Celtics would win with 89% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Celtics and was a major factor: Celtics defense (104.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (118.3 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Celtics and was a major factor: Celtics offense (127.3 PPG) outpaces 76ers (111.3 PPG)
- Injuries favored the Celtics and was a major factor: Celtics healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 1 out, 0 doubtful
- The 76ers are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Celtics won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Boston Celtics
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Boston Celtics
- InjuriesFavors Boston Celtics
- ELO RatingFavors Boston Celtics
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Rest DaysFavors Philadelphia 76ers
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Celtics defense (104.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (118.3 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Celtics offense (127.3 PPG) outpaces 76ers (111.3 PPG)
Turnover Differential
76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Celtics (+0)
Injuries
Celtics healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 1 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Celtics
76ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
76ers has a 11% win probability, while Celtics has a 89% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

