Brooklyn Nets at Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers 79% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:
- Offensive Efficiency. 76ers offense (115.9 PPG) outpaces Nets (107.0 PPG)
- Recent Form. 76ers (35-31) in better form than Nets (17-49)
- Home Field Advantage. 76ers are 0-0 at home this season
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 58% (−21)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: PHI 71% (−8)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 72% (−7)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 76% (−3)
Win probability movement
PHI home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The 76ers defeated the Nets 104-97.
Our model predicted the 76ers would win with 79% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the 76ers and was a major factor: 76ers offense (115.9 PPG) outpaces Nets (107.0 PPG)
- Recent Form favored the 76ers and was a notable factor: 76ers (35-31) in better form than Nets (17-49)
- Home Field Advantage favored the 76ers and was a notable factor: 76ers are 0-0 at home this season
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
76ers won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Recent FormFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Brooklyn Nets
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
76ers offense (115.9 PPG) outpaces Nets (107.0 PPG)
Recent Form
76ers (35-31) in better form than Nets (17-49)
Defensive Efficiency
Nets defense (115.8 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (116.5 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Nets (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Nets
76ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
76ers has a 79% win probability, while Nets has a 21% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.