MLB Intelligence Board

Upcoming MLB games ranked by model-market disagreement — where the model sees the most edge, why, and how confidence has shifted.

Today 3 Days Week

54%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 4:05 PM

PIT vs MIL· Model favors PIT

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors PIT — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

56%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 6:10 PM

↓ 2%

MIN vs LAA· Model favors MIN

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors MIN — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 6:10 PM

↓ 2%

CWS vs OAK· Model favors CWS

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors CWS — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 8:05 PM

WSH vs NYY· Model favors WSH

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors WSH — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

56%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 8:05 PM

PIT vs MIL· Model favors PIT

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors PIT — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 8:05 PM

SF vs COL· Model favors SF

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors SF — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 8:10 PM

NYM vs BOS· Model favors NYM

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors NYM — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

54%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 8:10 PM

↑ 2%

MIA vs CLE· Model favors MIA

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors MIA — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

56%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 8:10 PM

↓ 2%

TB vs SEA· Model favors TB

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors TB — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 10:10 PM

DET vs PHI· Model favors DET

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors DET — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 11:05 PM

↑ 2%

TEX vs HOU· Model favors TEX

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors TEX — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 11:05 PM

BAL vs KC· Model favors BAL

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors BAL — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 11:10 PM

CIN vs CHC· Model favors CIN

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors CIN — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

54%

Model

Sat, Jul 11 · 11:15 PM

↑ 2%

STL vs ATL· Model favors STL

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors STL — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 12:40 AM

↑ 2%

SD vs TOR· Model favors SD

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors SD — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 1:10 AM

↓ 2%

LAD vs ARI· Model favors LAD

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors LAD — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

54%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 4:15 PM

PIT vs MIL· Model favors PIT

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors PIT — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 5:35 PM

BAL vs KC· Model favors BAL

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors BAL — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 5:35 PM

WSH vs NYY· Model favors WSH

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors WSH — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

56%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 5:40 PM

TB vs SEA· Model favors TB

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors TB — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

54%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 5:40 PM

MIA vs CLE· Model favors MIA

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors MIA — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 5:40 PM

DET vs PHI· Model favors DET

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors DET — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 5:40 PM

NYM vs BOS· Model favors NYM

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors NYM — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 5:40 PM

CIN vs CHC· Model favors CIN

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors CIN — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 6:10 PM

CWS vs OAK· Model favors CWS

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors CWS — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

56%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 6:10 PM

MIN vs LAA· Model favors MIN

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors MIN — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

54%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 6:15 PM

STL vs ATL· Model favors STL

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors STL — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 6:35 PM

TEX vs HOU· Model favors TEX

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors TEX — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 8:05 PM

SF vs COL· Model favors SF

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors SF — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 8:10 PM

LAD vs ARI· Model favors LAD

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors LAD — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%

Model

Sun, Jul 12 · 8:10 PM

SD vs TOR· Model favors SD

medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors SD — Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

Model outputs are for informational purposes only. Edge is the difference between the model's win probability and vig-normalized market odds.