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Upcoming MLB games ranked by model-market disagreement — where the model sees the most edge, why, and how confidence has shifted.

54%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 4:05 PM
PIT vs MIL· Model favors PIT
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors PITBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

56%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 6:10 PM
2%
MIN vs LAA· Model favors MIN
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors MINBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 6:10 PM
2%
CWS vs OAK· Model favors CWS
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors CWSBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 8:05 PM
WSH vs NYY· Model favors WSH
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors WSHBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

56%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 8:05 PM
PIT vs MIL· Model favors PIT
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors PITBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 8:05 PM
SF vs COL· Model favors SF
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors SFBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 8:10 PM
NYM vs BOS· Model favors NYM
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors NYMBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

54%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 8:10 PM
2%
MIA vs CLE· Model favors MIA
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors MIABase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

56%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 8:10 PM
2%
TB vs SEA· Model favors TB
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors TBBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 10:10 PM
DET vs PHI· Model favors DET
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors DETBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 11:05 PM
2%
TEX vs HOU· Model favors TEX
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors TEXBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 11:05 PM
BAL vs KC· Model favors BAL
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors BALBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 11:10 PM
CIN vs CHC· Model favors CIN
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors CINBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

54%
Model
Sat, Jul 11 · 11:15 PM
2%
STL vs ATL· Model favors STL
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors STLBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 12:40 AM
2%
SD vs TOR· Model favors SD
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors SDBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 1:10 AM
2%
LAD vs ARI· Model favors LAD
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors LADBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

54%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 4:15 PM
PIT vs MIL· Model favors PIT
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors PITBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 5:35 PM
BAL vs KC· Model favors BAL
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors BALBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 5:35 PM
WSH vs NYY· Model favors WSH
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors WSHBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

56%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 5:40 PM
TB vs SEA· Model favors TB
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors TBBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

54%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 5:40 PM
MIA vs CLE· Model favors MIA
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors MIABase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 5:40 PM
DET vs PHI· Model favors DET
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors DETBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 5:40 PM
NYM vs BOS· Model favors NYM
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors NYMBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 5:40 PM
CIN vs CHC· Model favors CIN
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors CINBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 6:10 PM
CWS vs OAK· Model favors CWS
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors CWSBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

56%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 6:10 PM
MIN vs LAA· Model favors MIN
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors MINBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

54%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 6:15 PM
STL vs ATL· Model favors STL
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors STLBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 6:35 PM
TEX vs HOU· Model favors TEX
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors TEXBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 8:05 PM
SF vs COL· Model favors SF
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors SFBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 8:10 PM
LAD vs ARI· Model favors LAD
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors LADBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

55%
Model
Sun, Jul 12 · 8:10 PM
SD vs TOR· Model favors SD
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors SDBase home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

Model outputs are for informational purposes only. Edge is the difference between the model's win probability and vig-normalized market odds.