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Upcoming MLB games ranked by model-market disagreement — where the model sees the most edge, why, and how confidence has shifted.

61%
Model
Fri, Oct 9 · 12:00 AM
CWS vs CLE· Model favors CWS
medium

Offensive Efficiency✦ · favors CWS — Chicago White Sox offense (4.8 R/G) outpaces Guardians (4.2 R/G)

60%
Model
Fri, Oct 9 · 12:00 AM
NYY vs TB· Model favors NYY
low

Defensive Efficiency✦ · favors NYY — Yankees pitching/defense (3.7 RA/G) better than Rays (4.0 RA/G)

64%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 12:00 AM
LAD vs ATL· Model favors LAD
low

Offensive Efficiency✦ · favors LAD — Dodgers offense (4.9 R/G) outpaces Braves (4.6 R/G)

72%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 12:00 AM
MIL vs SD· Model favors MIL
medium

Offensive Efficiency✦ · favors MIL — Brewers offense (5.1 R/G) outpaces Padres (4.5 R/G)

50%
Model
Sun, Oct 11 · 12:00 AM
CLE vs CWS· Model favors CWS
medium

Offensive Efficiency · favors CWS — Chicago White Sox offense (4.8 R/G) outpaces Guardians (4.2 R/G)

52%
Model
Sun, Oct 11 · 12:00 AM
TB vs NYY· Model favors TB
low

Defensive Efficiency · favors NYY — Yankees pitching/defense (3.7 RA/G) better than Rays (4.0 RA/G)

Model outputs are for informational purposes only. Edge is the difference between the model's win probability and vig-normalized market odds.