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Texas Rangers at New York Yankees

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Yankees logo
Yankees
New York
7
vs
Rangers logo
Rangers
Texas
4
NYY 55%45% TEX
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueYankee Stadium
Bronx, New York

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rangers (away)
Yankees (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Yankees defeated the Rangers 7-4.

Our model predicted the Yankees would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Yankees and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Yankees won 7-4

Yankees won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Yankees at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

TEX
NYY
Home Field Advantage
Favours TEX|Favours NYY

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Yankees

Our Model55%

Rangers

Our Model45%

Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/5/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Rangers

Jack LeiterSP
Jacob deGromSP
Nathan EovaldiSP
MacKenzie GoreSP
Kumar RockerSP

Yankees

Will WarrenSP
Carlos RodonSP
Cam SchlittlerSP
Ryan WeathersSP
J.C. EscarraC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Yankees has a 55% win probability, while Rangers has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York.

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