San Francisco Giants at Athletics Athletics
Athletics Athletics 62% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Athletics:
- Rest Days. Oakland Athletics rest advantage (1 day rest) over Giants (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the rest edge were neutral: OAK 56% (−6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: OAK 58% (−4)
Win probability movement
OAK home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Athletics defeated the Giants 5-2.
Our model predicted the Athletics would win with 62% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Rest Days favored the Athletics and was a major factor: Oakland Athletics rest advantage (1 day rest) over Giants (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Athletics and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Athletics won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Rest DaysFavors Athletics Athletics
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Athletics Athletics
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest Days
Oakland Athletics rest advantage (1 day rest) over Giants (back-to-back)
Historical
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Giants
No player data available
Athletics
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Athletics has a 62% win probability, while Giants has a 38% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, California.