San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Rockies:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: COL 50% (−3)
- If the rest edge were neutral: COL 56% (+3)
Win probability movement
COL home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Rockies defeated the Giants 8-6.
Our model predicted the Rockies would win with 53% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Rockies and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Rest Days favored the Giants and was a contributing factor: Giants rest advantage (2 days rest) over Rockies (1 day rest)
- Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Rockies won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Colorado Rockies
- Rest DaysFavors San Francisco Giants
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Giants
No player data available
Rockies
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Rockies has a 53% win probability, while Giants has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado.