Athletics Athletics at Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Tigers:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: DET 52% (−2)
Win probability movement
DET home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Tigers defeated the Oakland Athletics 6-1.
Our model predicted the Tigers would win with 54% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Tigers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Tigers (1 day rest) vs Oakland Athletics (1 day rest)
- ELO Rating was neutral and a contributing factor: Tigers ELO 1476 vs Oakland Athletics ELO 1492 (diff: -16)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Tigers won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Tigers
- Rest DaysNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Athletics
Tigers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Tigers has a 54% win probability, while Athletics has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan.