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Oakland Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Orioles logo
Orioles
Baltimore
2
vs
BAL 55%45% OAK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueOriole Park at Camden Yards
Baltimore, Maryland

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Oakland Athletics (away)
Orioles (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Oakland Athletics defeated the Orioles 6-2.

Our model predicted the Orioles would win with 55% confidence, but the Oakland Athletics pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Orioles and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Oakland Athletics won 2-6

Oakland Athletics won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Orioles at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

OAK
BAL
Home Field Advantage
Favours OAK|Favours BAL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/9/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Oakland Athletics

Luis SeverinoSP
Aaron CivaleSP
J.T. GinnSP
Jacob LopezSP
Jeffrey SpringsSP

Orioles

Brandon YoungSP
Chris BassittSP
Shane BazSP
Kyle BradishSP
Trevor RogersSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Orioles has a 55% win probability, while Oakland Athletics has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland.

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