New York Yankees at New York Mets
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Yankees (away)
Mets (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Mets won 7-6
Mets won in a close game
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Mets at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
NYY
NYM
Home Field Advantage
Favours NYY|Favours NYM
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/17/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Yankees
Will WarrenSP
Carlos RodonSP
Cam SchlittlerSP
Ryan WeathersSP
J.C. EscarraC
Mets
David PetersonSP
Freddy PeraltaSP
Christian ScottSP
Zach ThorntonSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Mets has a 55% win probability, while Yankees has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Citi Field in Queens, New York.