New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Yankees (away)
Orioles (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Orioles won 3-2
Orioles won in a close game
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Orioles at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
NYY
BAL
Home Field Advantage
Favours NYY|Favours BAL
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/11/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Yankees
Will WarrenSP
Carlos RodonSP
Cam SchlittlerSP
Ryan WeathersSP
J.C. EscarraC
Orioles
Chris BassittSP
Trevor RogersSP
Shane BazSP
Kyle BradishSP
Brandon YoungSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Orioles has a 55% win probability, while Yankees has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland.