PlayDecoded
Menu

Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
Mets logo
Mets
New York
0
vs
Dodgers logo
Dodgers
Los Angeles
0
NYM 56%44% LAD
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New York Mets 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Mets:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days. Mets rest advantage (3 days rest) over Dodgers (4 days rest)

Make Your Prediction

Sign in to make predictions

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueCiti Field
Queens, New York

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Dodgers (away)
Mets (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Dodgers at Mets

The Dodgers visit the Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York in 2026-2027 MLB regular play.

Our model gives the Mets a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Dodgers will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Mets (medium): Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favors the Mets (low): Mets rest advantage (3 days rest) over Dodgers (4 days rest)
  • Weather Impact is neutral: Weather data not available
Mets56%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors NYM

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Mets
  • Rest DaysFavors New York Mets
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

LAD
NYM
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours LAD|Favours NYM

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 7/21/2026, 8:45:03 AM

Key Players

Dodgers

No player data available

Mets

Jonah TongSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Freddy PeraltaSP
Christian ScottSP
Zac ThorntonSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Mets has a 56% win probability, while Dodgers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Citi Field in Queens, New York.

View all MLB games