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Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers

MLBregular • 2026 Season
completed
Brewers logo
Brewers
Milwaukee
1
vs
Dodgers logo
Dodgers
Los Angeles
5
MIL 55%45% LAD
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Milwaukee Brewers 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Brewers:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: MIL 52% (−3)

Win probability movement

MIL home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement60%55%50%May 21May 24

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

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VenueAmerican Family Field
Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Dodgers (away)
Brewers (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Dodgers defeated the Brewers 5-1.

Our model predicted the Brewers would win with 55% confidence, but the Dodgers won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Brewers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Dodgers won 1-5

Dodgers won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Brewers at 55%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Milwaukee Brewers
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • ELO RatingNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

LAD
MIL
Home Field Advantage
Favours LAD|Favours MIL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/24/2026, 6:00:04 PM

Key Players

Dodgers

No player data available

Brewers

Dustin MaySP
Robert GasserSP
Brandon SproatSP
Coleman CrowSP
Shane DrohanSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Brewers has a 55% win probability, while Dodgers has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

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