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Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers

MLBregular • 2026 Season
completed
Dodgers logo
Dodgers
Los Angeles
0
vs
Angels logo
Angels
Los Angeles
3
LAD 55%45% LAA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Los Angeles Dodgers 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Dodgers:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: LAD 52% (−3)

Win probability movement

LAD home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement60%55%50%Mar 21Mar 24

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

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VenueDodger Stadium
Los Angeles, California

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Angels (away)
Dodgers (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Angels defeated the Dodgers 3-0.

Our model predicted the Dodgers would win with 55% confidence, but the Angels won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Dodgers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Rest days data not available
  • Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Angels won 0-3

Angels won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Dodgers at 55%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

LAA
LAD
Home Field Advantage
Favours LAA|Favours LAD

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/24/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Angels

Luke MurphyRP
Reid DetmersSP
Jack KochanowiczSP
Yusei KikuchiSP
Ryan JohnsonSP

Dodgers

No player data available

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Dodgers has a 55% win probability, while Angels has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California.

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