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Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Twins logo
Twins
Minnesota
1
vs
Astros logo
Astros
Houston
2
MIN 55%45% HOU
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueTarget Field
Minneapolis, Minnesota

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Astros (away)
Twins (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Astros defeated the Twins 2-1.

Our model predicted the Twins would win with 55% confidence, but the Astros pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Twins and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Astros won 1-2

Astros won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Twins at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

HOU
MIN
Home Field Advantage
Favours HOU|Favours MIN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/19/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Astros

Spencer ArrighettiSP
Tatsuya ImaiSP
Peter LambertSP
Mike BurrowsSP
Cesar SalazarC

Twins

Simeon Woods RichardsonSP
Zebby MatthewsSP
Bailey OberSP
Connor PrielippSP
Kendry RojasSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Twins has a 55% win probability, while Astros has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

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