Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
DET 54%46% HOU
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
Detroit Tigers 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Tigers:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Astros (away)
Tigers (home)
46%
Win probability
54%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Tigers54%
has a slight edge to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors DET
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Tigers
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
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What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
HOU
DET
Home Field Advantage
Favours HOU|Favours DET
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 6/25/2026, 8:45:01 AM
Key Players
Astros
Tatsuya ImaiSP
Peter LambertSP
Spencer ArrighettiSP
Mike BurrowsSP
Hunter BrownSP
Tigers
Troy MeltonSP
Casey MizeSP
Keider MonteroSP
Framber ValdezSP
Jack FlahertySP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Tigers has a 54% win probability, while Astros has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan.

