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Detroit Tigers at New York Mets

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Mets logo
Mets
New York
10
vs
Tigers logo
Tigers
Detroit
2
NYM 57%43% DET
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueCiti Field
Queens, New York

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Tigers (away)
Mets (home)
43%
Win probability
57%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Mets defeated the Tigers 10-2.

Our model predicted the Mets would win with 57% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Mets and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favored the Mets and was a contributing factor: Mets rest advantage (2 days rest) over Tigers (1 day rest)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Mets won 10-2

Mets won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Mets at 57%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DET
NYM
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours DET|Favours NYM

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/12/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Tigers

Casey MizeSP
Framber ValdezSP
Keider MonteroSP
Jack FlahertySP
Kevin McGonigleSS

Mets

David PetersonSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Freddy PeraltaSP
Christian ScottSP
Zach ThorntonSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Mets has a 57% win probability, while Tigers has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Citi Field in Queens, New York.

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