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Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Orioles logo
Orioles
Baltimore
7
vs
Tigers logo
Tigers
Detroit
4
BAL 57%43% DET
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueOriole Park at Camden Yards
Baltimore, Maryland

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Tigers (away)
Orioles (home)
43%
Win probability
57%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Orioles defeated the Tigers 7-4.

Our model predicted the Orioles would win with 57% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Orioles and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favored the Orioles and was a contributing factor: Orioles rest advantage (2 days rest) over Tigers (1 day rest)
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Orioles won 7-4

Orioles won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Orioles at 57%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DET
BAL
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours DET|Favours BAL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/22/2026, 8:45:01 AM

Key Players

Tigers

Casey MizeSP
Framber ValdezSP
Keider MonteroSP
Jack FlahertySP
Kevin McGonigleSS

Orioles

Brandon YoungSP
Chris BassittSP
Shane BazSP
Kyle BradishSP
Trevor RogersSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Orioles has a 57% win probability, while Tigers has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland.

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