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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Brewers logo
Brewers
Milwaukee
13
vs
Diamondbacks logo
Diamondbacks
Arizona
1
MIL 55%45% ARI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueAmerican Family Field
Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Diamondbacks (away)
Brewers (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Brewers defeated the Diamondbacks 13-1.

Our model predicted the Brewers would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Brewers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Brewers won 13-1

Brewers won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Brewers at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ARI
MIL
Home Field Advantage
Favours ARI|Favours MIL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/30/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Diamondbacks

Michael SorokaSP
Zac GallenSP
Eduardo RodriguezSP
Merrill KellySP
Ryne NelsonSP

Brewers

Brandon SproatSP
Logan HendersonSP
Robert GasserSP
Kyle HarrisonSP
Jacob MisiorowskiSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Brewers has a 55% win probability, while Diamondbacks has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

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