Model vs Market
Games where our probability model disagrees with consensus market odds. A positive edge means our model gives that team a meaningfully higher win probability than the market implies.
No significant probability gap yet
Our model shows a divergence when it gives a team meaningfully more probability than the market implies. Check back closer to game time.
Model disagreements are for informational purposes only. Our model identifies statistical discrepancies between probability estimates and market-implied odds. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
See our model accuracy page for transparent performance data.