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Upcoming NHL games ranked by model-market disagreement — where the model sees the most edge, why, and how confidence has shifted.

53%
Model
Thu, Oct 8 · 11:00 PM
↓ 27%
OTT vs PHI· Model favors OTT
high

Injuries↕ · favors PHI — Flyers healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Senators 6 out, 0 doubtful

48%
Model
Thu, Oct 8 · 11:00 PM
↓ 22%
BUF vs DAL· Model favors DAL
high

Injuries↕ · favors DAL — Stars healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Sabres 5 out, 0 doubtful

59%
Model
Thu, Oct 8 · 11:00 PM
↑ 17%
TBL vs MIN· Model favors TBL
medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors TBL — Lightning are 3-1 at home this season; Wild are 1-3 on the road

49%
Model
Thu, Oct 8 · 11:00 PM
↓ 15%
MTL vs NSH· Model favors NSH
high

Injuries↕ · favors NSH — Predators healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 5 out, 0 doubtful

73%
Model
Thu, Oct 8 · 11:00 PM
↑ 2%
CAR vs VAN· Model favors CAR
high

Injuries✦ · favors CAR — Hurricanes healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Canucks 5 out, 0 doubtful

55%
Model
Thu, Oct 8 · 11:00 PM
↑ 3%
BOS vs UTA· Model favors BOS
medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors BOS — Bruins are 3-1 at home this season; Utah Hockey Club are 3-3 on the road

69%
Model
Thu, Oct 8 · 11:30 PM
↑ 4%
NYI vs CHI· Model favors NYI
high

Injuries↑ · favors NYI — Islanders healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Blackhawks 3 out, 0 doubtful

68%
Model
Fri, Oct 9 · 12:00 AM
↓ 2%
STL vs SJS· Model favors STL
high

Injuries✦ · favors STL — Blues healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Sharks 5 out, 0 doubtful

37%
Model
Fri, Oct 9 · 1:00 AM
CGY vs COL· Model favors COL
high

Recent Form✦ · favors COL — Avalanche (2-0) in better form than Flames (0-3)

74%
Model
Fri, Oct 9 · 2:00 AM
↑ 11%
VGK vs TOR· Model favors VGK
high

Injuries↑ · favors VGK — Golden Knights healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Maple Leafs 5 out, 0 doubtful

40%
Model
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00 PM
↓ 6%
DET vs SEA· Model favors SEA
high

Injuries↕ · favors SEA — Kraken healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 7 out, 0 doubtful

52%
Model
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00 PM
CBJ vs PIT· Model favors CBJ
medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors CBJ — Blue Jackets are 3-1 at home this season; Penguins are 2-1 on the road

55%
Model
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00 PM
↓ 1%
WSH vs NYR· Model favors WSH
medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors WSH — Capitals are 2-0 at home this season; Rangers are 2-2 on the road

53%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 12:00 AM
WPG vs ANA· Model favors WPG
medium

Home Field Advantage✦ · favors WPG — Jets are 1-2 at home this season; Ducks are 1-2 on the road

66%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 5:00 PM
BOS vs PHI· Model favors BOS
high

Home Field Advantage · favors BOS — Bruins are 3-1 at home this season; Flyers are 0-4 on the road

45%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 7:30 PM
NJD vs VAN· Model favors VAN
high

Injuries · favors VAN — Canucks healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Devils 4 out, 0 doubtful

51%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 8:00 PM
SJS vs EDM· Model favors SJS
low

ELO Rating · favors EDM — Sharks ELO 1453 vs Oilers ELO 1533 (diff: -80)

42%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 10:00 PM
FLA vs MIN· Model favors MIN
high

Injuries · favors MIN — Wild healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Panthers 4 out, 0 doubtful

59%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 11:00 PM
MTL vs DET· Model favors MTL
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors MTL — Canadiens are 3-1 at home this season; Red Wings are 1-1 on the road

67%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 11:00 PM
COL vs TOR· Model favors COL
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors COL — Avalanche are 4-0 at home this season; Maple Leafs are 1-1 on the road

63%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 11:00 PM
OTT vs NSH· Model favors OTT
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors OTT — Senators are 1-1 at home this season; Predators are 0-3 on the road

56%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 11:00 PM
BUF vs UTA· Model favors BUF
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors BUF — Sabres are 3-1 at home this season; Utah Hockey Club are 3-3 on the road

56%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 11:00 PM
STL vs CBJ· Model favors STL
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors STL — Blues are 1-1 at home this season; Blue Jackets are 1-1 on the road

50%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 11:00 PM
CHI vs CAR· Model favors CHI
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors CHI — Blackhawks are 3-0 at home this season; Hurricanes are 3-1 on the road

59%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 11:00 PM
PIT vs DAL· Model favors PIT
low

Recent Form · favors PIT — Penguins (2-1) in better form than Stars (1-2)

50%
Model
Sat, Oct 10 · 11:30 PM
NYI vs TBL· Model favors NYI
medium

Home Field Advantage · favors NYI — Islanders are 1-2 at home this season; Lightning are 1-2 on the road

78%
Model
Sun, Oct 11 · 2:00 AM
VGK vs LAK· Model favors VGK
high

Injuries · favors VGK — Golden Knights healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Kings 3 out, 0 doubtful

42%
Model
Sun, Oct 11 · 2:00 AM
CGY vs ANA· Model favors ANA
high

Recent Form · favors ANA — Ducks (2-0) in better form than Flames (0-3)

Model outputs are for informational purposes only. Edge is the difference between the model's win probability and vig-normalized market odds.