Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators
NHLregular • 2025-2026 Season
completed
OTT 57%43% WSH
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Capitals (away)
Senators (home)
43%
Win probability
57%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Senators won 5-4
Senators won in a close game
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Senators at 57%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
WSH
OTT
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Favours WSH|Favours OTT
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/28/2026, 11:46:02 AM
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Senators has a 57% win probability, while Capitals has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
Venue information is not yet available for this game.