PlayDecoded
Menu

Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Penguins logo
Penguins
Pittsburgh
0
vs
Jets logo
Jets
Winnipeg
0
PIT 59%41% WPG
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Pittsburgh Penguins 59% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Penguins:

  • Recent Form. Penguins (2-0) in better form than Jets (0-0)
  • Home Field Advantage. Penguins are 2-1 at home this season; Jets are 0-2 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Penguins ELO 1520 vs Jets ELO 1492 (diff: +28)

Make Your Prediction

Sign in to make predictions

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenuePPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Jets (away)
Penguins (home)
41%
Win probability
59%
1
High-impact factors
2
0
Players ruled out
3

Game Preview

Jets at Penguins

The Jets visit the Penguins at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Penguins a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Jets will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Jets (high): Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Recent Form favors the Penguins (high): Penguins (2-0) in better form than Jets (0-0)
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Penguins (high): Penguins are 2-1 at home this season; Jets are 0-2 on the road
  • The Penguins are without 3 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
Penguins59%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors WPG

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • Recent FormFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
  • ELO RatingFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

WPG
PIT
Injuries
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours WPG|Favours PIT

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Penguins

Our Model59%

Jets

Our Model41%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Recent Form

Penguins (2-0) in better form than Jets (0-0)

Penguins

Offensive Efficiency

Offensive efficiency stats not yet available

Neutral

Defensive Efficiency

Defensive efficiency stats not yet available

Neutral

Turnover Differential

Penguins turnover differential (+0) vs Jets (+0)

Neutral

Injuries

Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 3 out, 0 doubtful

Jets

Home Field Advantage

Penguins are 2-1 at home this season; Jets are 0-2 on the road

Penguins
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/4/2026, 8:50:01 AM

Penguins

Ryan GravesD(Knee)
OUT
Bryan RustRW(Upper Body)
OUT
Justin BrazeauRW(Lower Body)
OUT

Jets

No injuries reported

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Penguins has a 59% win probability, while Jets has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA.

View all NHL games