Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins 74% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Penguins:
- Injuries. Penguins healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form. Penguins (2-0) in better form than Jets (1-0)
- Home Field Advantage. Penguins are 2-1 at home this season; Jets are 1-2 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Jets defeated the Penguins 3-2.
Our model predicted the Penguins would win with 74% confidence, but the Jets pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Penguins and was a major factor: Penguins healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Penguins and was a notable factor: Penguins (2-0) in better form than Jets (1-0)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Penguins and was a notable factor: Penguins are 2-1 at home this season; Jets are 1-2 on the road
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Penguins have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Jets have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Jets won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- Recent FormFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- Rest DaysFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Penguins
Jets
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Penguins healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 4 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Jets
Penguins
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Penguins has a 74% win probability, while Jets has a 26% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA.