Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings
Detroit Red Wings 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Red Wings:
- Home Field Advantage. Red Wings are 1-2 at home this season; Jets are 0-2 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Jets defeated the Red Wings 3-2.
Our model predicted the Red Wings would win with 52% confidence, but the Jets pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Red Wings and was a notable factor: Red Wings are 1-2 at home this season; Jets are 0-2 on the road
- Injuries favored the Jets and was a notable factor: Jets healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 6 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating was neutral and a contributing factor: Red Wings ELO 1479 vs Jets ELO 1492 (diff: -13)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Red Wings have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Jets have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Jets won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Red Wings
- InjuriesFavors Winnipeg Jets
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Red Wings
Jets
Key Players
Jets
Red Wings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Red Wings has a 52% win probability, while Jets has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.