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Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings

NHLregular โ€ข 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Red Wings logo
Red Wings
Detroit
1
vs
Jets logo
Jets
Winnipeg
3
DET 52%48% WPG
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Detroit Red Wings 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Red Wings:

  • Home Field Advantage. Red Wings are 1-2 at home this season; Jets are 0-2 on the road

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VenueLittle Caesars Arena
Detroit, MI

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Jets (away)
Red Wings (home)
48%
Win probability
52%
0
High-impact factors
0
4
Players ruled out
6

Game Preview

Jets at Red Wings

The Jets visit the Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Red Wings a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Jets will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Red Wings (medium): Red Wings are 1-2 at home this season; Jets are 0-2 on the road
  • Injuries favors the Jets (medium): Jets healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 6 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating is neutral: Red Wings ELO 1479 vs Jets ELO 1492 (diff: -13)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Red Wings have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Jets have 4.
Red Wings52%

has a slight edge to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors DET

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Red Wings
  • InjuriesFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

WPG
DET
Home Field Advantage
Injuries
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours WPG|Favours DET

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 โ€ข Calculated: 10/4/2026, 4:45:04 PM

Red Wings

Marco KasperC(Upper Body)
OUT
Dylan LarkinC(Upper Body)
OUT
Jacob Bernard-DockerD(Upper Body)
OUT
Simon EdvinssonD(Contract Dispute)
OUT
Carter BearLW(Upper Body)
OUT
Chase StillmanRW(Undisclosed)
OUT

Jets

Garrett BrownC(Lower Body)
OUT
Elias SalomonssonD(Shoulder)
OUT
Connor HellebuyckG(Suspension)
OUT
Walker DuehrRW(Lower Body)
OUT

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Red Wings has a 52% win probability, while Jets has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.

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