Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche 69% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Avalanche:
- Injuries. Avalanche healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Jets (3 out, 0 doubtful)
- Home Field Advantage. Avalanche are 1-0 at home this season; Jets are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating. Avalanche ELO 1535 vs Jets ELO 1501 (diff: +34)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Avalanche defeated the Jets 5-2.
Our model predicted the Avalanche would win with 69% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Avalanche and was a major factor: Avalanche healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Jets (3 out, 0 doubtful)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Avalanche and was a major factor: Avalanche are 1-0 at home this season; Jets are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Avalanche ELO 1535 vs Jets ELO 1501 (diff: +34)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Avalanche have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Jets have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Avalanche won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Colorado Avalanche
- ELO RatingFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Rest DaysFavors Winnipeg Jets
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Avalanche healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Jets (3 out, 0 doubtful)
Home Field Advantage
Avalanche are 1-0 at home this season; Jets are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Avalanche has a 69% win probability, while Jets has a 31% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Ball Arena in Denver, CO.