Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers
Vancouver Canucks 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Canucks:
- Injuries. Canucks healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 8 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Canucks defeated the Oilers 6-5.
Our model predicted the Canucks would win with 51% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Canucks and was a major factor: Canucks healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 8 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Oilers and was a major factor: Oilers are 2-0 at home this season; Canucks are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favored the Oilers and was a contributing factor: Oilers ELO 1528 vs Canucks ELO 1451 (diff: +77)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Oilers have 8 player(s) ruled out, while the Canucks have 5.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Canucks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Vancouver Canucks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Edmonton Oilers
- ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Oilers
Canucks
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Canucks healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 8 out, 0 doubtful
Home Field Advantage
Oilers are 2-0 at home this season; Canucks are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Oilers
Canucks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Oilers has a 49% win probability, while Canucks has a 51% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB.