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Utah Utah Hockey Club at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Maple Leafs logo
Maple Leafs
Toronto
0
vs
Utah Hockey Club logo
Utah Hockey Club
Utah
0
TOR 50%50% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Utah Utah Hockey Club 50% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Utah Hockey Club:

  • Recent Form. Utah Hockey Club (7-3) in better form than Maple Leafs (4-4)
  • ELO Rating. Maple Leafs ELO 1462 vs Utah Hockey Club ELO 1512 (diff: -50)

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VenueScotiabank Arena
Toronto, ON

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Utah Hockey Club (away)
Maple Leafs (home)
50%
Win probability
50%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Utah Hockey Club at Maple Leafs

The Utah Hockey Club visit the Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Utah Hockey Club a 50% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Maple Leafs will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Recent Form favors the Utah Hockey Club (low): Utah Hockey Club (7-3) in better form than Maple Leafs (4-4)
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Maple Leafs (low): Maple Leafs are 4-5 at home this season; Utah Hockey Club are 5-4 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Utah Hockey Club (low): Maple Leafs ELO 1462 vs Utah Hockey Club ELO 1512 (diff: -50)
Utah Hockey Club50%

has a slight edge to win

Key Factor
Recent Form
Favors UTA

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Recent FormFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Toronto Maple Leafs
  • ELO RatingFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
TOR
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours UTA|Favours TOR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/20/2026, 8:50:03 AM

Key Players

Utah Hockey Club

Sebastian CossaG
Karel VejmelkaG
Vincent TrocheckC
Logan CooleyC
Barrett HaytonC

Maple Leafs

Anthony StolarzG
Sergei BobrovskyG
Artur AkhtyamovG
Bo GroulxC
Auston MatthewsC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NHL Win Probability

How we calculate NHL game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Maple Leafs has a 50% win probability, while Utah Hockey Club has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.

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