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Utah Utah Hockey Club at New York Rangers

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
completed
Rangers logo
Rangers
New York
4
vs
NYR 63%37% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New York Rangers 63% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Rangers:

  • Rest Days. Rangers rest advantage (1 day rest) over Utah Hockey Club (back-to-back)
  • Home Field Advantage. Rangers are 2-1 at home this season; Utah Hockey Club are 2-2 on the road
  • Injuries. Rangers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Utah Hockey Club 1 out, 0 doubtful

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VenueMadison Square Garden
New York, NY

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Utah Hockey Club (away)
Rangers (home)
37%
Win probability
63%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rangers defeated the Utah Hockey Club 4-2.

Our model predicted the Rangers would win with 63% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Rest Days favored the Rangers and was a major factor: Rangers rest advantage (1 day rest) over Utah Hockey Club (back-to-back)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Rangers and was a notable factor: Rangers are 2-1 at home this season; Utah Hockey Club are 2-2 on the road
  • Recent Form favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club (2-0) in better form than Rangers (2-1)
  • The Utah Hockey Club are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Rangers won 4-2

Rangers won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Rangers at 63%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Rest DaysFavors New York Rangers
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Rangers
  • Recent FormFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • InjuriesFavors New York Rangers
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
NYR
Rest Days
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Injuries
ELO Rating
Favours UTA|Favours NYR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Rest Days

Rangers rest advantage (1 day rest) over Utah Hockey Club (back-to-back)

Rangers
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/4/2026, 9:45:03 PM

Key Players

Utah Hockey Club

Sebastian CossaG
Karel VejmelkaG
Liam O'BrienC
Nick SchmaltzC
Vincent TrocheckC

Rangers

No player data available

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Rangers has a 63% win probability, while Utah Hockey Club has a 37% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.

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