Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken
Seattle Kraken 62% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Kraken:
- Home Field Advantage. Kraken are 3-1 at home this season; Maple Leafs are 2-3 on the road
- Recent Form. Kraken (5-2) in better form than Maple Leafs (3-3)
- ELO Rating. Kraken ELO 1497 vs Maple Leafs ELO 1470 (diff: +27)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Maple Leafs at Kraken
The Maple Leafs visit the Kraken at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Kraken a 62% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The Maple Leafs will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Kraken (medium): Kraken are 3-1 at home this season; Maple Leafs are 2-3 on the road
- Recent Form favors the Kraken (low): Kraken (5-2) in better form than Maple Leafs (3-3)
- ELO Rating favors the Kraken (low): Kraken ELO 1497 vs Maple Leafs ELO 1470 (diff: +27)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Kraken
- Recent FormFavors Seattle Kraken
- ELO RatingFavors Seattle Kraken
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
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Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Maple Leafs
Kraken
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Kraken has a 62% win probability, while Maple Leafs has a 38% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.