Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus Blue Jackets 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Blue Jackets:
- Home Field Advantage. Blue Jackets are 3-1 at home this season; Maple Leafs are 1-1 on the road
- ELO Rating. Blue Jackets ELO 1502 vs Maple Leafs ELO 1467 (diff: +35)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Maple Leafs at Blue Jackets
The Maple Leafs visit the Blue Jackets at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Blue Jackets a 58% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Maple Leafs will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Blue Jackets (medium): Blue Jackets are 3-1 at home this season; Maple Leafs are 1-1 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Blue Jackets (low): Blue Jackets ELO 1502 vs Maple Leafs ELO 1467 (diff: +35)
- Rest Days is neutral: Rest day data not available for this matchup
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- ELO RatingFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Maple Leafs
Blue Jackets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blue Jackets has a 58% win probability, while Maple Leafs has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH.